Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.720733 4.294051 4.924346 5.668443 6.522707 7.472625 8.609004
2024-12-29 3.017410 3.789334 4.709461 5.886186 7.350512 9.112392 11.393494
2025-01-05 2.495374 3.373487 4.496568 6.036269 8.090882 10.737275 14.405300
2025-01-12 2.051542 2.962990 4.204556 6.015810 8.588007 12.107872 17.290871
2025-01-19 1.627621 2.496763 3.750622 5.686087 8.594261 12.797954 19.335635
2025-01-26 1.444895 2.340435 3.700973 5.910673 9.403611 14.706713 23.367920
2025-02-02 1.336019 2.274676 3.769810 6.313574 10.524819 17.210659 28.626885
2025-02-09 1.193331 2.128778 3.686177 6.453334 11.236108 19.151664 33.238169
2025-02-16 1.063388 1.981864 3.575716 6.525005 11.832035 20.962648 37.849874
2025-02-23 0.918006 1.783768 3.346570 6.352198 11.971280 22.000707 41.239503
2025-03-02 0.779800 1.576742 3.070420 6.050663 11.828474 22.507481 43.713704
2025-03-09 0.706665 1.483105 2.990416 6.102937 12.345275 24.264164 48.707483
2025-03-16 0.616550 1.344865 2.811093 5.948149 12.463672 25.328047 52.600206
2025-03-23 0.587045 1.327914 2.871336 6.285629 13.613831 28.544731 61.197477
2025-03-30 0.549564 1.287990 2.878465 6.513022 14.567156 31.485505 69.617582
2025-04-06 0.498863 1.210579 2.794475 6.531103 15.074385 33.563602 76.482421
2025-04-13 0.428657 1.076905 2.567257 6.196273 14.755096 33.834025 79.433896
2025-04-20 0.407448 1.057006 2.595980 6.454620 15.819486 37.272306 89.943836
2025-04-27 0.399296 1.068080 2.698721 6.902762 17.387972 42.038165 104.126774
2025-05-04 0.374430 1.032604 2.683854 7.060702 18.276688 45.332208 115.228913
2025-05-11 0.347865 0.988457 2.641146 7.142222 18.985943 48.282328 125.862993
2025-05-18 0.311175 0.911018 2.502365 6.955233 18.985318 49.496160 132.305369
2025-05-25 0.272623 0.822075 2.320458 6.626642 18.566964 49.605128 135.910252